The big questions about the ban on petrol cars from two thousand forty answered
How do we get from petrol cars everywhere in two thousand seventeen to them being banned in 2040? We all need to prepare for colossal switch
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- Eighteen:14, twenty six JUL 2017
- Updated 07:58, twenty seven JUL 2017
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The UK Government wants us to stop driving petrol and diesel cars by the middle of the century.
The transport revolution will have enormous consequences for Wales’ motor industry, the economy and energy supply – each of which will cause ministers major headaches in the decades ahead.
Here are some of the key questions for drivers, for the economy and for Wales:
Will I still be able to drive my petrol car after 2040?
The UK Government has committed to end the sale of all fresh conventional petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
This implies you would still be able to drive a vintage vehicle – or the family car you purchased in two thousand thirty five – but the aim is that “nearly every car and van on UK roads to be zero emission by 2050”.
That does imply that hybrid cars as well will be out of the question, albeit this is not explicitly spelt out.
Sources of carbon dioxide
UK Petroleum Industry/BEIS, 2015
There is particular concern about diesel because vehicles are “causing harmful emissions far above what was assumed” and public health is suffering.
However, the UK Government wants to improve air quality in a way that does not “unfairly penalise ordinary working families who bought diesel vehicles in good faith”.
Sources of nitrogen oxides
UK Petroleum Industry/Defra, 2014
How many more power stations will be needed for all the fresh electrified vehicles?
There are approximately 38.7 million licensed vehicles in the United Kingdom. If all of these were powered by electric current there would be a monumental surge in request on the country’s power stations.
Politicians will have to worry not only about keeping lights on but how to keep electrified cars, lorries and trains on electrified lines moving.
The Times reported earlier this year that switching to all-electric cars in London would “demand five times the amount of power needed to run the entire London Underground network” and that if this happened across the entire country “the equivalent of twenty fresh nuclear power stations” would be needed.
The strain on the system will depend on how and when cars are charged and estimates vary. The Telegraph says the extra power needed will be “almost ten times the total power output of the fresh Hinckley Point C nuclear power station being built in Somerset”.
What’s clear is that major dilemmas about energy production are going to intensify.
Earlier this month the National Grid calculated that growth in electrified vehicles meant peak electro-stimulation request could increase by Trio.5GW by two thousand thirty and – in the most extreme script – 18GW by 2050.
The Hendry Review , which gave the thumbs up to the Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon, warned in January: “The UK presently has eight operational nuclear plants with a combined capacity of 8.9GW, and all but one of these is scheduled to close by 2030.”
What will happen to all the petrol stations?
The number of packing stations has crashed from Nineteen,000 in one thousand nine hundred ninety to just 8,476 at the end of last year. This decline was driven by the budge by supermarkets into this market but a switch to electrified cars could devastate the sector.
The number of petrol stations in the UK
UK Petroleum Industry
Already, electrical cars can go for one hundred to three hundred miles on a charge. By two thousand forty we can expect charging times to be shorter, the driving times longer and the batteries lighter.
Charging points are already appearing at service stations to meets the needs of drivers of electrified vehicles on long journeys but millions of people will charge up their cars at home.
A key question is how people who lack access to off-street parking will charge their vehicles. Department for Transport research in two thousand nine found that only 48% of households had access to a garage so there may be a need for charging points in traditional forecourts.
What will happen to engine plants like Ford’s in Bridgend?
Around Legal,000 people are directly employed in the motor industry in Wales, according to the Welsh Automotive Forum .
If a vehicle revolution is coming, Wales needs to have the abilities and the technology in place to make the transition to the post-petrol era.
The Ford plant in Bridgend has manufactured around 655,000 engines a year. If the industry is to flourish in Wales it needs to persuade the largest names in the sector to manufacture the next generation of engines here.
Government will have an significant role to play in ensuring that workers have the right abilities and there is help with investment in fresh equipment.
Are people who work at oil refineries in Wales at risk of losing their jobs?
The petroleum industry faces one of the greatest challenges in its history if the development of super-batteries switches the world so we embrace electrically powered travel.
Transport fuel is of enormous importance to refineries – and that dependence is growing. The UK Petroleum Industry Association notes that the “current trend of production is away from heating fuels (fuel and gas oils) and towards transport fuels (petrol, diesel and jet fuel)”.
What do refineries produce?
UK Petroleum Industry/BEIS, 2016
The members of this association employed around 8,000 people in 2015, with more than 150,000 people in roles such as driving tankers and working at service stations.
Far more diesel is sold than petrol
UK Petroleum Industry
Around 44% of the products produced at the Valero Pembroke Refinery are gasolines.
How will the Government make up for lost taxes from road fuel?
The Treasury will have to pack a giant crevice in the public finances.
The UK Petroleum Industry Association lays out just how dependent the Treasury is on this source of income: “The two thousand seventeen Budget estimates fuel duty receipts for 2016-17 at £27.9bn. In addition to the duty on road fuels, around £8.4bn was collected as VAT.
“This combined figure is around 5% of total public sector current receipts and would cover over 24% of the public sector’s total spending on health or 75% of the country’s total spending on defence.”
What is the Welsh Government doing?
A spokeswoman said: “We proceed to call on the UK Government to accelerate delivery of its commitment to decarbonise the transport network, including incentivising the shift to low emission vehicles and more sustainable methods of transport and remain disappointed by the UK’s cracked promise over electrification of the main line to Swansea.
“Wales is already leading the way in developing clean technologies for the automotive sector. For example we have invested in Toyota’s Deeside engine plant for the manufacture of the latest hybrid engine and committed £100m over the next ten yeas in a fresh Automotive Technology Park in Blaenau Gwent that can capitalise on fresh opportunities opening up in the sector. The Welsh Government will be keen to work with the UK Government to explore the opportunities for Wales to be at the forefront of electrified battery design and manufacture over the next few years.
“We are also developing a Clean Air Zone framework for Wales, as part of our contribution to the UK air quality plan on nitrogen dioxide. We are already engaging with playmates on this development and a public consultation will go after.”
The big questions about the ban on petrol cars from two thousand forty answered – Wales Online
The big questions about the ban on petrol cars from two thousand forty answered
How do we get from petrol cars everywhere in two thousand seventeen to them being banned in 2040? We all need to prepare for colossal switch
- Share
- Comments
- Legal:14, twenty six JUL 2017
- Updated 07:58, twenty seven JUL 2017
- Share
- Comments
The UK Government wants us to stop driving petrol and diesel cars by the middle of the century.
The transport revolution will have gigantic consequences for Wales’ motor industry, the economy and energy supply – each of which will cause ministers major headaches in the decades ahead.
Here are some of the key questions for drivers, for the economy and for Wales:
Will I still be able to drive my petrol car after 2040?
The UK Government has committed to end the sale of all fresh conventional petrol and diesel cars by 2040.
This implies you would still be able to drive a vintage vehicle – or the family car you purchased in two thousand thirty five – but the objective is that “nearly every car and van on UK roads to be zero emission by 2050”.
That does imply that hybrid cars as well will be out of the question, albeit this is not explicitly spelt out.
Sources of carbon dioxide
UK Petroleum Industry/BEIS, 2015
There is particular concern about diesel because vehicles are “causing harmful emissions far above what was assumed” and public health is suffering.
However, the UK Government wants to improve air quality in a way that does not “unfairly penalise ordinary working families who bought diesel vehicles in good faith”.
Sources of nitrogen oxides
UK Petroleum Industry/Defra, 2014
How many more power stations will be needed for all the fresh electrified vehicles?
There are approximately 38.7 million licensed vehicles in the United Kingdom. If all of these were powered by tens unit there would be a monumental surge in request on the country’s power stations.
Politicians will have to worry not only about keeping lights on but how to keep electrified cars, lorries and trains on electrified lines moving.
The Times reported earlier this year that switching to all-electric cars in London would “demand five times the amount of power needed to run the entire London Underground network” and that if this happened across the entire country “the equivalent of twenty fresh nuclear power stations” would be needed.
The strain on the system will depend on how and when cars are charged and estimates vary. The Telegraph says the extra power needed will be “almost ten times the total power output of the fresh Hinckley Point C nuclear power station being built in Somerset”.
What’s clear is that major dilemmas about energy production are going to intensify.
Earlier this month the National Grid calculated that growth in electrical vehicles meant peak electro-therapy request could increase by Three.5GW by two thousand thirty and – in the most extreme screenplay – 18GW by 2050.
The Hendry Review , which gave the thumbs up to the Swansea Bay Tidal Lagoon, warned in January: “The UK presently has eight operational nuclear plants with a combined capacity of 8.9GW, and all but one of these is scheduled to close by 2030.”
What will happen to all the petrol stations?
The number of packing stations has crashed from Nineteen,000 in one thousand nine hundred ninety to just 8,476 at the end of last year. This decline was driven by the stir by supermarkets into this market but a switch to electrical cars could devastate the sector.
The number of petrol stations in the UK
UK Petroleum Industry
Already, electrified cars can go for one hundred to three hundred miles on a charge. By two thousand forty we can expect charging times to be shorter, the driving times longer and the batteries lighter.
Charging points are already appearing at service stations to meets the needs of drivers of electrical vehicles on long journeys but millions of people will charge up their cars at home.
A key question is how people who lack access to off-street parking will charge their vehicles. Department for Transport research in two thousand nine found that only 48% of households had access to a garage so there may be a need for charging points in traditional forecourts.
What will happen to engine plants like Ford’s in Bridgend?
Around Eighteen,000 people are directly employed in the motor industry in Wales, according to the Welsh Automotive Forum .
If a vehicle revolution is coming, Wales needs to have the abilities and the technology in place to make the transition to the post-petrol era.
The Ford plant in Bridgend has manufactured around 655,000 engines a year. If the industry is to flourish in Wales it needs to persuade the fattest names in the sector to manufacture the next generation of engines here.
Government will have an significant role to play in ensuring that workers have the right abilities and there is help with investment in fresh equipment.
Are people who work at oil refineries in Wales at risk of losing their jobs?
The petroleum industry faces one of the greatest challenges in its history if the development of super-batteries switches the world so we embrace electrically powered travel.
Transport fuel is of hefty importance to refineries – and that dependence is growing. The UK Petroleum Industry Association notes that the “current trend of production is away from heating fuels (fuel and gas oils) and towards transport fuels (petrol, diesel and jet fuel)”.
What do refineries produce?
UK Petroleum Industry/BEIS, 2016
The members of this association employed around 8,000 people in 2015, with more than 150,000 people in roles such as driving tankers and working at service stations.
Far more diesel is sold than petrol
UK Petroleum Industry
Around 44% of the products produced at the Valero Pembroke Refinery are gasolines.
How will the Government make up for lost taxes from road fuel?
The Treasury will have to pack a giant fuckhole in the public finances.
The UK Petroleum Industry Association lays out just how dependent the Treasury is on this source of income: “The two thousand seventeen Budget estimates fuel duty receipts for 2016-17 at £27.9bn. In addition to the duty on road fuels, around £8.4bn was collected as VAT.
“This combined figure is around 5% of total public sector current receipts and would cover over 24% of the public sector’s total spending on health or 75% of the country’s total spending on defence.”
What is the Welsh Government doing?
A spokeswoman said: “We proceed to call on the UK Government to accelerate delivery of its commitment to decarbonise the transport network, including incentivising the shift to low emission vehicles and more sustainable methods of transport and remain disappointed by the UK’s violated promise over electrification of the main line to Swansea.
“Wales is already leading the way in developing clean technologies for the automotive sector. For example we have invested in Toyota’s Deeside engine plant for the manufacture of the latest hybrid engine and committed £100m over the next ten yeas in a fresh Automotive Technology Park in Blaenau Gwent that can capitalise on fresh opportunities opening up in the sector. The Welsh Government will be keen to work with the UK Government to explore the opportunities for Wales to be at the forefront of electrified battery design and manufacture over the next few years.
“We are also developing a Clean Air Zone framework for Wales, as part of our contribution to the UK air quality plan on nitrogen dioxide. We are already engaging with fucking partners on this development and a public consultation will go after.”